Week 4Oct 1 – Oct 5, 2026
Week 4 report card
- 10 HIT
- 1 PARTIAL
- 1 MISS
- 4 N/A
Week 4: CLEARs 8/8; LAR@PHI and TEN@BAL WATCH HIT; ARI@NYG FLAG PARTIAL on intensity; NE@BUF WATCH MISS; DAL@HOU N/A (NRG roof closed).
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FLAG / WATCH
- ARI @ NYGFLAGPARTIAL
somewhat · light rain from early in the game on; timing right, FLAG intensity high
- DAL @ HOUFLAGN/A
N/A · roof closed, so N/A. Outdoor lean held on rain outside (no thunder observed)
retractable roof closed
- LAR @ PHIWATCHHIT
close · light rain on and off all game at the Linc
- NE @ BUFWATCHMISS
somewhat · kick-hour shower chance gave only a trace sprinkle before kick; dry game, 11 mph at the stadium
- TEN @ BALWATCHHIT
close · drizzle at kick and on and off after
CLEAR
8 games
8 HITTNF PIT@CLE through SNF DET@CAR. GB@TB and DET@CAR were Thursday FLAGs lowered to CLEAR by Sunday, and both stayed dry.
DOME
Monday, Oct 5
ATL @ NO8:15pm ETDOMECLEAR
8:15pm ET · ESPN/ABC
ConfidenceHIGH
Caesars Superdome · New Orleans · dome · turf · ESPN/ABC
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 8:15pm 72 0 0% Dome 9:15pm 72 0 0% Dome 10:15pm 72 0 0% Dome 11:15pm 72 0 0% Dome 12:15am 72 0 0% Dome DOME — Caesars Superdome fixed roof. Weather does not matter.
Fixed dome. Weather does not matter.
Final
Thursday, Oct 1
PIT @ CLE8:15pm ETFINALCLEARafter: 29%
8:15pm ET · Amazon
ConfidenceHIGH
Huntington Bank Field · Cleveland · open · grass · Amazon
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 8:15pm 78 10 5% Cloudy 9:15pm 77 10 5% Mostly Cloudy 10:15pm 76 10 10% Mostly Cloudy 11:15pm 76 9 19% Slight Chance Rain Showers 12:15am 74 9 29% Chance Rain Showers CLEAR — TNF final (played Thu). Not re-forecast. Hours retained from the 9am board (Thu NWS hours). Dry TNF call stood.
Wet-field: none
Sunday, Oct 4
IND vs WAS9:30am ETFINALINTLCLEAR
9:30am ET · NFL Net
ConfidenceLOW
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London · open · grass · NFL Net
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 9:30am 68 5 0% partlycloudy day 10:30am 69 6 0% Clear 11:30am 69 6 0% partlycloudy day 12:30pm 69 7 0% Clear 1:30pm 65 4 0% partlycloudy day CLEAR — London live (9:30a kick). met.no no longer serves the kick hour; hours retained from the 9am pull. Remaining hours still dry (met.no 16:00 BST 68°F/6 mph/PoP 0; 18:00 66°F/4 mph/PoP 0; Open-Meteo PoP 0% all afternoon). Low conf (intl).
Wet-field: none
ARI @ NYG1:00pm ETFINALFLAGFLAG — MetLife chance rain showers at kick (PoP 25%) then rain showers 70% at +1h and +2h (±2h), 59% after. Wind ~7–8 mph, ~64–66°F. Firmer than 9am (was 22% → ~56%). Keep FLAG.
1:00pm ET · CBS
ConfidenceHIGH
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford · open · turf · CBS
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 64 8 25% Chance Rain Showers 2:00pm 66 7 70% Rain Showers 3:00pm 66 7 70% Rain Showers 4:00pm 66 7 59% Rain Showers Likely 5:00pm 66 7 59% Rain Showers Likely FLAG — MetLife chance rain showers at kick (PoP 25%) then rain showers 70% at +1h and +2h (±2h), 59% after. Wind ~7–8 mph, ~64–66°F. Firmer than 9am (was 22% → ~56%). Keep FLAG.
DAL @ HOU1:00pm ETFINALRoof: TBD (leaning open)FLAGRetractable roof still TBD as of ~11:24am ET (club policy is ~2h prekick / ~11am ET; no official open/closed call on houstontexans.com Week 4 gameday page, and no @HoustonTexans roof post). Outdoor lean FLAG — NRG chance showers and thunderstorms (PoP 36% kick, 40% at +1h and +2h), wind ~10 mph (15 mph at +2h), ~80–82°F. If officially closed → DOME. Not flipped on a guess.
1:00pm ET · FOX
ConfidenceMED
NRG Stadium · Houston · retractable · tbd · turf · FOX
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 80 10 36% Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 2:00pm 80 10 40% Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 3:00pm 81 15 40% Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 4:00pm 81 10 35% Chance Showers And Thunderstorms 5:00pm 82 10 29% Chance Showers And Thunderstorms Retractable roof still TBD as of ~11:24am ET (club policy is ~2h prekick / ~11am ET; no official open/closed call on houstontexans.com Week 4 gameday page, and no @HoustonTexans roof post). Outdoor lean FLAG — NRG chance showers and thunderstorms (PoP 36% kick, 40% at +1h and +2h), wind ~10 mph (15 mph at +2h), ~80–82°F. If officially closed → DOME. Not flipped on a guess.
Retractable roof TBD. Flags assume the roof is open.
GB @ TB1:00pm ETFINALCLEARafter: 24%
1:00pm ET · FOX
ConfidenceHIGH
Raymond James Stadium · Tampa · open · grass · FOX
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 88 7 6% Mostly Sunny 2:00pm 89 6 10% Partly Sunny 3:00pm 89 6 14% Partly Sunny 4:00pm 88 5 19% Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms 5:00pm 87 5 24% Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms CLEAR — Tampa mostly sunny at kick (PoP 6%; ≤14% through ±2h), ~87–89°F, wind ~5–7 mph. Unchanged vs 9am. Quiet after tip: PoP ~19–24% at +3h/+4h (not painted).
Wet-field: none
JAX @ CIN1:00pm ETFINALCLEAR
1:00pm ET · CBS
ConfidenceHIGH
Paycor Stadium · Cincinnati · open · turf · CBS
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 71 2 0% Mostly Sunny 2:00pm 73 3 0% Sunny 3:00pm 74 3 0% Sunny 4:00pm 74 3 0% Sunny 5:00pm 74 3 0% Sunny CLEAR — Paycor mostly sunny/dry (PoP 0%), calm ~2–3 mph, ~71–74°F.
LAR @ PHI1:00pm ETFINALWATCHWATCH — Linc chance rain showers unchanged from 9am (~39% kick → 35/32% in ±2h, 28/24% after), light wind ~5 mph, ~64°F. Still under the FLAG tip (40).
1:00pm ET · FOX
ConfidenceHIGH
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia · open · grass · FOX
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 64 5 39% Chance Rain Showers 2:00pm 64 5 35% Chance Rain Showers 3:00pm 64 5 32% Chance Rain Showers 4:00pm 64 5 28% Chance Rain Showers 5:00pm 64 5 24% Slight Chance Rain Showers WATCH — Linc chance rain showers unchanged from 9am (~39% kick → 35/32% in ±2h, 28/24% after), light wind ~5 mph, ~64°F. Still under the FLAG tip (40).
Wet-field: none
NE @ BUF1:00pm ETFINALWATCHWATCH — Highmark chance rain showers at kick (PoP 33% / 16 mph / 67°F) then mostly sunny (PoP 8% then 7%) with wind 15–16 mph through ±2h. Flipped from 9am CLEAR (was PoP 4% / ~7 mph). Chip tip is WATCH on the kick-hour 33 (20/40); not FLAG. Wind is a breeze on top, not the sole call — soft dry-wind does not apply because the kick hour is not dry. Open-Meteo drier (PoP ~7%, wind ~11 mph); NWS BUF wins. med conf on the sharp drop.
1:00pm ET · CBS
ConfidenceMED
Highmark Stadium · Orchard Park · open · turf · CBS
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 67 16 33% Chance Rain Showers 2:00pm 68 15 8% Mostly Sunny 3:00pm 68 16 7% Mostly Sunny 4:00pm 67 15 6% Sunny 5:00pm 65 13 5% Sunny WATCH — Highmark chance rain showers at kick (PoP 33% / 16 mph / 67°F) then mostly sunny (PoP 8% then 7%) with wind 15–16 mph through ±2h. Flipped from 9am CLEAR (was PoP 4% / ~7 mph). Chip tip is WATCH on the kick-hour 33 (20/40); not FLAG. Wind is a breeze on top, not the sole call — soft dry-wind does not apply because the kick hour is not dry. Open-Meteo drier (PoP ~7%, wind ~11 mph); NWS BUF wins. med conf on the sharp drop.
NYJ @ CHI1:00pm ETFINALCLEARafter: 15 mph
1:00pm ET · FOX
ConfidenceHIGH
Soldier Field · Chicago · open · grass · FOX
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 70 10 0% Sunny 2:00pm 72 10 0% Sunny 3:00pm 72 10 0% Sunny 4:00pm 71 15 0% Sunny 5:00pm 70 10 0% Sunny CLEAR — Soldier Field sunny/dry (PoP 0%), ~10 mph through ±2h, ~70–72°F. 15 mph shows up at +3h only (after the chip). Soft dry-wind: do not WATCH a sunny 15 mph after the window.
Wet-field: none
TEN @ BAL1:00pm ETFINALWATCHWATCH — M&T areas of drizzle at kick (PoP 39%) then 16% / 20% inside ±2h, easing to 14% / 7% after. Wind ~5–7 mph, ~65–67°F. Flipped from 9am FLAG — kick PoP fell 44→39, under the FLAG tip (40). Chip agrees WATCH; we do not hold the morning FLAG across a sub-40 number. Drizzle wording does not outrank the PoP.
1:00pm ET · CBS
ConfidenceHIGH
M&T Bank Stadium · Baltimore · open · grass · CBS
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 1:00pm 65 7 39% Areas Of Drizzle 2:00pm 65 6 16% Areas Of Drizzle 3:00pm 65 6 20% Areas Of Drizzle 4:00pm 67 6 14% Cloudy 5:00pm 65 5 7% Cloudy WATCH — M&T areas of drizzle at kick (PoP 39%) then 16% / 20% inside ±2h, easing to 14% / 7% after. Wind ~5–7 mph, ~65–67°F. Flipped from 9am FLAG — kick PoP fell 44→39, under the FLAG tip (40). Chip agrees WATCH; we do not hold the morning FLAG across a sub-40 number. Drizzle wording does not outrank the PoP.
Wet-field: none
MIA @ MIN4:05pm ETFINALDOMECLEAR
4:05pm ET · FOX
ConfidenceHIGH
U.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis · dome · turf · FOX
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 4:05pm 72 0 0% Dome 5:05pm 72 0 0% Dome 6:05pm 72 0 0% Dome 7:05pm 72 0 0% Dome 8:05pm 72 0 0% Dome DOME — U.S. Bank Stadium fixed roof. Weather does not matter.
Fixed dome. Weather does not matter.
DEN @ SF4:25pm ETFINALCLEAR
4:25pm ET · CBS
ConfidenceHIGH
Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara · open · grass · CBS
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 4:25pm 88 2 1% Mostly Cloudy 5:25pm 89 6 1% Mostly Cloudy 6:25pm 91 8 1% Mostly Cloudy 7:25pm 89 10 1% Mostly Sunny 8:25pm 88 10 2% Mostly Sunny CLEAR — Levi's mostly cloudy/dry (PoP ≤2%), wind ~2–10 mph, ~88–91°F.
Wet-field: none
KC @ LV4:25pm ETFINALDOMECLEAR
4:25pm ET · CBS
ConfidenceHIGH
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas · dome · turf · CBS
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 4:25pm 72 0 0% Dome 5:25pm 72 0 0% Dome 6:25pm 72 0 0% Dome 7:25pm 72 0 0% Dome 8:25pm 72 0 0% Dome DOME — Allegiant Stadium fixed roof. Weather does not matter.
Fixed dome. Weather does not matter.
LAC @ SEA4:25pm ETFINALCLEAR
4:25pm ET · CBS
ConfidenceHIGH
Lumen Field · Seattle · open · turf · CBS
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 4:25pm 67 3 0% Sunny 5:25pm 69 3 0% Sunny 6:25pm 69 5 0% Sunny 7:25pm 71 5 0% Sunny 8:25pm 70 3 0% Sunny CLEAR — Lumen sunny/dry (PoP 0%), light wind ~3–5 mph, ~67–71°F.
DET @ CAR8:20pm ETFINALCLEAR
8:20pm ET · NBC
ConfidenceHIGH
Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte · open · grass · NBC
Time °F Wind Rain Sky 8:20pm 69 0 17% Slight Chance Rain Showers 9:20pm 69 0 17% Slight Chance Rain Showers 10:20pm 68 0 17% Slight Chance Rain Showers 11:20pm 68 0 14% Cloudy 12:20am 67 0 12% Patchy Fog CLEAR — SNF Charlotte slight chance showers (PoP ≤17% kick window), calm, ~67–69°F. Unchanged vs 9am.
Wet-field: none