Week 6Oct 15 – Oct 19, 2026

Since Thursday: ATL WATCH → DOME · ATL roof closed (Falcons, 12:38pm ET)

Next refresh in , Sun 9am ET

View last week’s report card

Week 4 grades after the games

  • 10 HIT
  • 1 PARTIAL
  • 1 MISS
  • 4 N/A

Sunday, Oct 18 · Early / international

  • HOU vs JAX9:30am ETINTLWATCHFantasy: PoP 20% by +2h, wind 12 mph: minor; a passing shower could slow deep passing late, kickers mostly unaffected.WATCH (no change from Thu) — Wembley ~54–56°F, Open-Meteo PoP 8% at kick → 15% +1h → 20% +2h (chip WATCH at PoP≥20, well under FLAG≥40; Thu was 19%→39%). Wind 12 mph sustained (gusts 24–26, context). Deterministic models show 0.0 in through the window (UKMO/ECMWF dry, GFS PoP 26% +2h), drizzle signal gone; ECMWF/GFS ensembles ~45–48% of members show ≥0.1 mm/hr in the kick block, so a light shower is still plausible. met.no compact+complete: dry, partly cloudy, ~13 mph, no PoP field. Low conf (met.no lacks PoP; models split on cloud). Prior 36h ~0.07 in, field low. Fantasy: PoP 20% by +2h, wind 12 mph: minor; a passing shower could slow deep passing late, kickers mostly unaffected.

    9:30am ET · NFL Net

    ConfidenceLOW

    Wembley Stadium · London · open · grass · NFL Net

    Time°FWindRainSky
    9:30am54128%Mainly clear
    10:30am551215%Partly cloudy
    11:30am561220%Mainly clear
    12:30pm551123%Mainly clear
    1:30pm54926%Partly cloudy

    WATCH (no change from Thu) — Wembley ~54–56°F, Open-Meteo PoP 8% at kick → 15% +1h → 20% +2h (chip WATCH at PoP≥20, well under FLAG≥40; Thu was 19%→39%). Wind 12 mph sustained (gusts 24–26, context). Deterministic models show 0.0 in through the window (UKMO/ECMWF dry, GFS PoP 26% +2h), drizzle signal gone; ECMWF/GFS ensembles ~45–48% of members show ≥0.1 mm/hr in the kick block, so a light shower is still plausible. met.no compact+complete: dry, partly cloudy, ~13 mph, no PoP field. Low conf (met.no lacks PoP; models split on cloud). Prior 36h ~0.07 in, field low. Fantasy: PoP 20% by +2h, wind 12 mph: minor; a passing shower could slow deep passing late, kickers mostly unaffected.

    Wet-field: low

Sunday, Oct 18

  • BAL @ CLECLEAR

    1:00pm ET · FOX

    ConfidenceMED

    Huntington Bank Field · Cleveland · open · grass · FOX

    Time°FWindRainSky
    1:00pm5680%Sunny
    2:00pm5980%Sunny
    3:00pm6080%Sunny
    4:00pm6080%Sunny
    5:00pm6180%Sunny

    CLEAR — Huntington Bank sunny (~56–60°F), PoP 0%, wind 8 mph. Freeze Warning ends Sun 9am EDT (before kick), not a window hazard. ~0.61 in fell Fri (ended ~7pm ET Fri); with ~42 dry, sunny hours before kick, field called low (not moderate). Recheck Sun 9am.

    Wet-field: low

  • CAR @ PHICLEAR

    1:00pm ET · CBS

    ConfidenceMED

    Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia · open · grass · CBS

    Time°FWindRainSky
    1:00pm5550%Sunny
    2:00pm5750%Sunny
    3:00pm5750%Sunny
    4:00pm5850%Sunny
    5:00pm5750%Sunny

    CLEAR — Linc sunny (~55–57°F), PoP 0%, wind 5 mph. ~0.48 in fell Fri evening–early Sat (ended ~3am ET Sat); ~34 dry, sunny hours before kick, field called low. Recheck Sun 9am.

    Wet-field: low

  • CHI @ ATLDOMECLEAR

    1:00pm ET · FOX

    ConfidenceHIGH

    Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta · retractable · closed · turf · FOX

    Time°FWindRainSky
    1:00pm7200%Dome
    2:00pm7200%Dome
    3:00pm7200%Dome
    4:00pm7200%Dome
    5:00pm7200%Dome

    DOME (was WATCH outdoor lean Thu) — @MBStadium announced Fri 12:38pm ET the roof will be closed for Sunday vs. the Bears. Outside: sunny ~60–63°F, wind 15 mph. Weather does not matter.

    Dome closed. Weather does not matter.

    Roof: closed · 12:38pm ET · source

  • NO @ NYGCLEAR

    1:00pm ET · FOX

    ConfidenceMED

    MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford · open · turf · FOX

    Time°FWindRainSky
    1:00pm5550%Sunny
    2:00pm5650%Sunny
    3:00pm5750%Sunny
    4:00pm5730%Sunny
    5:00pm5650%Sunny

    CLEAR — MetLife sunny (~55–57°F), PoP 0%, wind 5 mph. Dry kick window.

  • NYJ @ NECLEAR

    1:00pm ET · CBS

    ConfidenceMED

    Gillette Stadium · Foxborough · open · turf · CBS

    Time°FWindRainSky
    1:00pm5230%Sunny
    2:00pm5330%Sunny
    3:00pm5330%Sunny
    4:00pm5330%Sunny
    5:00pm5230%Sunny

    CLEAR — Gillette sunny (~52–53°F), PoP 0%, wind 3 mph. ~0.26 in fell Fri; dry Sat/Sun, field low.

  • PIT @ TBWATCHFantasy: Wind 16-17 mph sustained: long field goals and deep passing take a hit; run game and short passing gain a slight edge.WATCH — Raymond James mostly sunny/hot (~77–78°F), PoP 0%, NWS wind sustained 16–17 mph NE (chip WATCH at wind≥15; under FLAG≥20; Thu was 18). Open-Meteo cross-check lower, 12–14 mph sustained (gusts 22–28, context). Could go to FLAG Sunday if sustained winds reach 20. Sunday games capped at WATCH on this board. Fantasy: Wind 16-17 mph sustained: long field goals and deep passing take a hit; run game and short passing gain a slight edge.

    1:00pm ET · CBS

    ConfidenceMED

    Raymond James Stadium · Tampa · open · grass · CBS

    Time°FWindRainSky
    1:00pm77160%Mostly Sunny
    2:00pm78160%Mostly Sunny
    3:00pm78170%Mostly Sunny
    4:00pm78171%Mostly Sunny
    5:00pm78161%Mostly Sunny

    WATCH — Raymond James mostly sunny/hot (~77–78°F), PoP 0%, NWS wind sustained 16–17 mph NE (chip WATCH at wind≥15; under FLAG≥20; Thu was 18). Open-Meteo cross-check lower, 12–14 mph sustained (gusts 22–28, context). Could go to FLAG Sunday if sustained winds reach 20. Sunday games capped at WATCH on this board. Fantasy: Wind 16-17 mph sustained: long field goals and deep passing take a hit; run game and short passing gain a slight edge.

    Wet-field: low

  • TEN @ INDRoof: TBD (leaning open)CLEAR

    1:00pm ET · FOX

    ConfidenceMED

    Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis · retractable · tbd · turf · FOX

    Time°FWindRainSky
    1:00pm5760%Sunny
    2:00pm6060%Sunny
    3:00pm6160%Sunny
    4:00pm6360%Sunny
    5:00pm6360%Sunny

    Retractable roof TBD (no call from Colts/@ColtsLife/@LucasOilStadium as of Sat 8:14am ET). Outdoor lean CLEAR — Lucas Oil sunny (~57–61°F), PoP 0%, wind 6 mph. Frost Advisory ends Sun 9am EDT, before kick. If closed → DOME.

    Retractable roof TBD. Flags assume the roof is open.

    Roof: TBD (leaning open) · 8:14am ET · source

  • ARI @ LARDOMECLEAR

    4:05pm ET · FOX

    ConfidenceHIGH

    SoFi Stadium · Inglewood · dome · turf · FOX

    Time°FWindRainSky
    4:05pm7200%Dome
    5:05pm7200%Dome
    6:05pm7200%Dome
    7:05pm7200%Dome
    8:05pm7200%Dome

    DOME — SoFi Stadium fixed roof. Weather does not matter.

    Fixed dome. Weather does not matter.

  • BUF @ LVDOMECLEAR

    4:25pm ET · CBS

    ConfidenceHIGH

    Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas · dome · turf · CBS

    Time°FWindRainSky
    4:25pm7200%Dome
    5:25pm7200%Dome
    6:25pm7200%Dome
    7:25pm7200%Dome
    8:25pm7200%Dome

    DOME — Allegiant Stadium fixed roof. Weather does not matter.

    Fixed dome. Weather does not matter.

  • LAC @ KCCLEAR

    4:25pm ET · CBS

    ConfidenceMED

    GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City · open · grass · CBS

    Time°FWindRainSky
    4:25pm64120%Sunny
    5:25pm65120%Sunny
    6:25pm63100%Sunny
    7:25pm6180%Clear
    8:25pm6070%Clear

    CLEAR — Arrowhead sunny (~63–65°F), PoP 0%, wind 10–12 mph. Quiet Chiefs afternoon.

    Wet-field: none

  • DAL @ GBCLEAR

    8:20pm ET · NBC

    ConfidenceMED

    Lambeau Field · Green Bay · open · grass · NBC

    Time°FWindRainSky
    8:20pm55100%Clear
    9:20pm5390%Clear
    10:20pm5280%Clear
    11:20pm5180%Mostly Clear
    12:20am5070%Mostly Clear

    CLEAR — Lambeau clear/cool (~52–58°F SNF window), PoP 0%, wind 8–12 mph. Sat-morning Freeze Warning has expired; not a window hazard.

    Wet-field: low

Monday, Oct 19

  • WAS @ SFCLEAR

    8:15pm ET · ESPN/ABC

    ConfidenceMED

    Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara · open · grass · ESPN/ABC

    Time°FWindRainSky
    8:15pm64142%Mostly Sunny
    9:15pm62142%Partly Cloudy
    10:15pm60142%Partly Cloudy
    11:15pm5862%Mostly Cloudy
    12:15am5762%Mostly Cloudy

    CLEAR — Levi's mostly sunny/partly cloudy (~60–65°F MNF), PoP ≤2%, wind 13–14 mph. Quiet Monday night.

    Wet-field: none

Final

Thursday, Oct 15

  • SEA @ DENFINALCLEAR

    8:15pm ET · Amazon

    ConfidenceHIGH

    Empower Field at Mile High · Denver · open · grass · Amazon

    Time°FWindRainSky
    8:15pm5270%Clear
    9:15pm4960%Mostly Clear
    10:15pm4650%Clear
    11:15pm4430%Clear
    12:15am4330%Clear

    CLEAR — Empower Field dry/clear at kick (~52°F PoP 0%; wind ≤7 mph through window, cools to ~46°F +2h). Freeze Warning overnight after kick (onset midnight MDT Fri — after TNF window). Not a window hazard.

    Wet-field: none

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